Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.153306 0.175485 0.200774 0.231961 0.269692 0.314254 0.371447
2025-03-23 0.119622 0.148304 0.184672 0.235120 0.304855 0.400322 0.545482
2025-03-30 0.096744 0.126758 0.167789 0.229888 0.325123 0.472384 0.732503
2025-04-06 0.083734 0.114643 0.159551 0.232668 0.355435 0.567677 1.001637
2025-04-13 0.073049 0.103457 0.149787 0.229779 0.374594 0.650407 1.295701
2025-04-20 0.066229 0.096694 0.145160 0.233545 0.405559 0.766462 1.740428
2025-04-27 0.061133 0.091715 0.142309 0.239361 0.441718 0.908999 2.374717
2025-05-04 0.056758 0.087211 0.139371 0.244118 0.476985 1.066961 3.227847
2025-05-11 0.053258 0.083662 0.137451 0.250285 0.517341 1.260630 4.481361
2025-05-18 0.049806 0.079737 0.134197 0.252913 0.550224 1.453885 6.089407
2025-05-25 0.046642 0.075944 0.130615 0.254033 0.579815 1.657725 8.241923
2025-06-01 0.043531 0.071903 0.125989 0.251845 0.599896 1.844432 10.867698
2025-06-08 0.040406 0.067587 0.120401 0.246682 0.611052 2.012576 14.091359
2025-06-15 0.038713 0.065828 0.119844 0.253739 0.662951 2.406711 21.993905
2025-06-22 0.036203 0.062245 0.115004 0.249060 0.675578 2.633141 29.794818
2025-06-29 0.034585 0.060264 0.113370 0.252483 0.718017 3.071007 47.311894
2025-07-06 0.032643 0.057458 0.109586 0.249376 0.736028 3.395832 69.288948
2025-07-13 0.031383 0.055928 0.108487 0.253594 0.784651 4.000632 124.338322
2025-07-20 0.030364 0.054802 0.108177 0.260075 0.846380 4.825903 262.471266
2025-07-27 0.029344 0.053583 0.107501 0.265374 0.906608 5.786239 633.364980
2025-08-03 0.028480 0.052620 0.107324 0.272247 0.978874 7.076574 2160.991485
2025-08-10 0.027465 0.051248 0.105990 0.275176 1.034477 8.381456 10094.546749
2025-08-17 0.026441 0.049773 0.104241 0.276426 1.083105 9.804058 121516.330094